Barretts
Posted , 5 users are following.
Hi i recently had an endoscopy and the biopsied for Barretts.
I have been doing plenty oh Googling anf found some quite scary stuff.
I have some questions that i hope can be answered .
It eould appear thst the chances of Barretts mutating into cancer are about 0.5% per year. Thst sounds low intil you work it out into life years . So a 50 year old that lives to 90 ( hoprfully) has a 0.5 miltiplied by 40 chance ie 20% chance . Thst seems pretty high to me .
Also i understand that you can have regular endoscopies to catch it before it turns, ablation therapy etc . If these options are available why do so many people with Barretts still go on to get OC ? I hope someone can shed dome light as i have not seen my consultant for biopsy result yet.
Thank you
Darren
0 likes, 9 replies
Guest dcooperxyz
Posted
Your math, however, is fundamentally correct.
2) scoping guidelines are every 2-3 years not some centers, 3-5 in others. Depends on a few factors.
3) Betwen 90-95% of people who are diagnosed with EC come in for the first time with EC. Most people who come in with EC don’t know they have Barrett’s. Most people with Barrett’a don’t get EC. In a sense, those whose Barrett’a is discovered and who are in regular scoping programs are the lucky ones.
Side note: there is some disagreement on whether those with non-displastic BE should be ablated. For some it’s best to a late at any stage. For others it depends on the length.
I can’t say don’t worry because I do, all the time. But don’t worry too much: that will make it worse. Eat better, follow your diet and medical regimen, and you should be fine. Consider surgery if you’re a candidate. And consider moving to a low-fat diet, preferably mostly vegetarian. People I know who had Barrett’s have gotten good results from that. (Read “Eat to Live” by Dr Furhman.)
Best of luck.
dcooperxyz Guest
Posted
Or are those documented figures allowing for people undiagnosed and so it’s too late ?
Thanks again
Guest dcooperxyz
Posted
Not sure I understand your second question. Do you mean to to ask whether the numbers (.1% chance per year) account for those people who were not know to have cancer?
I don’t know, but I don’t think so. I think that number only accounts for those people who have been observed to have Barrett’s and have been scoped for a long time.
The thought goes that a minority of people with Barrett’s know about it. Some time ago, a study involving a large number of deceased folks revealed that, on autopsy, something like 2-5% of folks had recognizable Barrett’s. (The number is somewhere in there, but I don’t remember the exact number.) Most were not diagnosed, and it’s suspected that ~3% of the total US population has Barrett’s. Most just don’t know it. And most will live nd die never knowing.
Remember, even with Barrett’s, EC is very rare. In the US you’re talking about 17,000 new cases per year*. This is a very small number.
*That number includes all esophageal cancers. Barrett’s is only a risk factor for adenocarcinomas, which make up something like 80% of all EC in western countries. But that number does NOT include adenocarcinomas of the Gastroesophageal Junction (GEJ) or upper stomach, even though some consider those to all be effectively the same type of cancer. And once you look at those numbers, stats change a bit.
Anyway, it sounds like you’re trying to stratify your own level of risk, trying to gain some comfort from the numbers. I know because I do the same. So take it from me when I say that numbers don’t matter. The only number that matters in 1: you. This is a wake up call. You can do things to avoid cancer. Do them. Do not wait.
Best of luck.
dcooperxyz Guest
Posted
Many thanks
tata40402 dcooperxyz
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What made you test for barretts. I have been suffering for years with this. One ear nose and throat dr. Told me, if I don't do the surgery, linx, I will eventually have cancer. I have a pain in my back now, due to acid. I know it is. I have silent reflux. Acid just eating away at you slowly. I take deviant everyday. Sometimes I don't take it. Try to eat right. I have a hiatus hernia. Think I'm really a candidate for the surgery
dcooperxyz tata40402
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tata40402 dcooperxyz
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That's dexilant
linda9693 dcooperxyz
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tata40402 linda9693
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